Main
Featherweight
David Onama vs Gabriel Santos
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
David Onama
Gabriel Santos
57%
43%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
14-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-3
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Onama: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Santos: 39 sig / 2 TD
David Onama
Gabriel Santos
63
Sig strikes landed
54
137
Sig strikes attempted
109
77
Total strikes landed
71
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
107s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
David Onama
14-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
Blue corner
L1
Gabriel Santos
"Mosquitinho"
12-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—