Main
Middleweight
Brendan Allen vs Bruno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brendan Allen
Bruno Silva
84%
16%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
28
Age
Δ 6y
34
27-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
24-13
W4
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Allen: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 20 sig / 0 TD
Brendan Allen
Bruno Silva
52
Sig strikes landed
30
98
Sig strikes attempted
72
65
Total strikes landed
43
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
166s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Brendan Allen
"All In"
27-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
Blue corner
W1
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
24-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—