Prelims1
Welterweight
Neil Magny vs Phil Rowe
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Neil Magny
Phil Rowe
75%
25%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 0"
80"
36
Age
Δ 3y
33
31-16
Career record
Δ 3 pp
12-7
L1
Current streak
W3
29
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Magny: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Rowe: 34 sig / 1 TD
Neil Magny
Phil Rowe
42
Sig strikes landed
41
89
Sig strikes attempted
93
69
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31-16
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
29 fights · 20-9
Last 5
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
Blue corner
W3
Phil Rowe
"The Fresh Prince"
12-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—