Prelims1
Welterweight
Randy Brown vs Wellington Turman
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
·Vystar Veterans Memorial Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Randy Brown
Wellington Turman
57%
43%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
20-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-9
L1
Current streak
L1
15
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brown: 64 sig / 2 TD ·
Turman: 55 sig / 0 TD
Randy Brown
Wellington Turman
48
Sig strikes landed
36
93
Sig strikes attempted
71
66
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Randy Brown
"Rudeboy"
20-9
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
18-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—