Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Tereza Bleda vs Gabriella Fernandes

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tereza Bleda
Gabriella Fernandes
70% 30%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
66"
22
Age
Δ 8y
30
7-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bleda: 57 sig / 3 TD · Fernandes: 23 sig / 0 TD
Tereza Bleda
Gabriella Fernandes
35
Sig strikes landed
34
68
Sig strikes attempted
44
71
Total strikes landed
57
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
279s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Tereza Bleda

7-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Gabriella Fernandes

"Gabi"
11-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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