Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Dan Argueta vs Ronnie Lawrence

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dan Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence
58% 42%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
10-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
8-3
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Argueta: 4 sig / 1 TD · Lawrence: 1 sig / 0 TD
Dan Argueta
Ronnie Lawrence
27
Sig strikes landed
38
58
Sig strikes attempted
66
56
Total strikes landed
61
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
4.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
207s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Dan Argueta

"The Determined"
10-3 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
L1

Ronnie Lawrence

"The Heat"
8-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—