Main
Middleweight
Armen Petrosyan vs Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Armen Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan
27%
73%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 8"
79"
33
Age
Δ 5y
28
10-5
Career record
Δ 22 pp
15-2
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petrosyan: 89 sig / 1 TD ·
Duncan: 59 sig / 0 TD
Armen Petrosyan
Christian Leroy Duncan
29
Sig strikes landed
45
63
Sig strikes attempted
89
28
Total strikes landed
55
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.0
0.5
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
21s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Armen Petrosyan
"Superman"
10-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—