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Main Welterweight

Nicolas Dalby vs Muslim Salikhov

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Nicolas Dalby
Muslim Salikhov
66% 34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
39
Age
Δ 0y
39
25-6-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
23-6
W2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dalby: 86 sig / 2 TD · Salikhov: 57 sig / 2 TD
Nicolas Dalby
Muslim Salikhov
43
Sig strikes landed
42
114
Sig strikes attempted
109
63
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Nicolas Dalby

"Lokomotivo"
25-6-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 10 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
L UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
W UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
Blue corner
W1

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"
23-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
W UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren