Back to UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Prelims1 Flyweight

Jimmy Flick vs Alessandro Costa

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jimmy Flick
Alessandro Costa
44% 56%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
33
Age
Δ 5y
27
17-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Flick: 14 sig / 0 TD · Costa: 65 sig / 0 TD
Jimmy Flick
Alessandro Costa
31
Sig strikes landed
22
66
Sig strikes attempted
55
44
Total strikes landed
35
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jimmy Flick

"The Brick"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
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Blue corner
L1

Alessandro Costa

"Nono"
15-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
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