Prelims1
Lightweight
Jamie Mullarkey vs Muhammad Naimov
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jamie Mullarkey
Muhammad Naimov
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
29
Age
29
W2
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Mullarkey: 39 sig / 3 TD ·
Naimov: 28 sig / 0 TD
Jamie Mullarkey
Muhammad Naimov
45
Sig strikes landed
35
98
Sig strikes attempted
75
60
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jamie Mullarkey
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
Blue corner
Muhammad Naimov
"Hillman"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29