Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Elise Reed vs Jinh Yu Frey
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Elise Reed
Jinh Yu Frey
70%
30%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
8-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-11
L1
Current streak
L2
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Reed: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Frey: 28 sig / 3 TD
Elise Reed
Jinh Yu Frey
36
Sig strikes landed
32
66
Sig strikes attempted
62
67
Total strikes landed
62
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
112s
Control time
212s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Elise Reed
8-6
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
L2
Jinh Yu Frey
11-11
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—