Back to UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Main Women's Flyweight

Karine Silva vs Ketlen Souza

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Karine Silva
Ketlen Souza
63% 37%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
63"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 3 sig / 1 TD · Souza: 0 sig / 0 TD
Karine Silva
Ketlen Souza
33
Sig strikes landed
29
93
Sig strikes attempted
71
58
Total strikes landed
51
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
158s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Karine Silva

"Killer"
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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Blue corner

Ketlen Souza

"Esquentadinha"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29