Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tim Elliott
Victor Altamirano
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
36
Age
Δ 4y
32
23-14-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
13-5
W1
Current streak
W2
17
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Elliott: 28 sig / 6 TD ·
Altamirano: 19 sig / 1 TD
Tim Elliott
Victor Altamirano
50
Sig strikes landed
51
100
Sig strikes attempted
102
77
Total strikes landed
77
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
297s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tim Elliott
23-14-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
17 fights · 7-10
Last 5
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Bu…
—
Blue corner
W2
Victor Altamirano
"El Magnifico"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—