Back to UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Daniel Santos vs Johnny Munoz

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Daniel Santos
Johnny Munoz
67% 33%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
15-3
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-4
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 50 sig / 3 TD · Munoz: 18 sig / 1 TD
Daniel Santos
Johnny Munoz
51
Sig strikes landed
51
125
Sig strikes attempted
122
75
Total strikes landed
63
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
191s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Daniel Santos

"Willycat"
15-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
W1

Johnny Munoz

"Kid Kvenbo"
13-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—