Prelims1
Bantamweight
Da'Mon Blackshear vs Luan Lacerda
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Da'Mon Blackshear
Luan Lacerda
55%
45%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
29
Age
Δ 2y
30
17-9-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
13-5
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Blackshear: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Lacerda: 28 sig / 1 TD
Da'Mon Blackshear
Luan Lacerda
64
Sig strikes landed
55
148
Sig strikes attempted
124
82
Total strikes landed
71
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.1
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
164s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Da'Mon Blackshear
"The Monster"
17-9-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 2
L
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
L1
Luan Lacerda
13-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—