Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Emily Ducote
Loopy Godinez
45%
55%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
61"
29
Age
Δ 0y
30
13-10
Career record
Δ 15 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ducote: 112 sig / 0 TD ·
Godinez: 132 sig / 1 TD
Emily Ducote
Loopy Godinez
69
Sig strikes landed
81
180
Sig strikes attempted
192
84
Total strikes landed
108
0.2
Takedowns landed
2.5
0.6
Takedowns attempted
8.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
56s
Control time
249s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Emily Ducote
"Gordinha"
13-10
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
Blue corner
W1
Loopy Godinez
15-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—