Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Edmen Shahbazyan
Anthony Hernandez
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
17-5
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-3
W1
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Shahbazyan: 30 sig / 1 TD ·
Hernandez: 63 sig / 6 TD
Edmen Shahbazyan
Anthony Hernandez
27
Sig strikes landed
30
53
Sig strikes attempted
57
39
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
17-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—
W
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
Blue corner
W3
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—