Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Orion Cosce
Gilbert Urbina
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
9-2
Career record
Δ 28 pp
7-6
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cosce: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Urbina: 51 sig / 2 TD
Orion Cosce
Gilbert Urbina
30
Sig strikes landed
33
56
Sig strikes attempted
56
60
Total strikes landed
59
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
230s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Orion Cosce
"Galaxy"
9-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
Blue corner
L1
Gilbert Urbina
"The RGV Bad Boy"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—