Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chase Hooper
Nick Fiore
77%
23%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
24
Age
Δ 2y
25
16-6-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
6-3
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hooper: 149 sig / 1 TD ·
Fiore: 51 sig / 4 TD
Chase Hooper
Nick Fiore
63
Sig strikes landed
33
101
Sig strikes attempted
78
96
Total strikes landed
43
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
211s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chase Hooper
"The Dream"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
L
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
Blue corner
L1
Nick Fiore
6-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—