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Prelims1 Lightweight

Maheshate vs Viacheslav Borshchev

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Maheshate
Viacheslav Borshchev
77% 23%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
24
Age
Δ 8y
31
10-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
8-8-1
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Maheshate: 32 sig / 0 TD · Borshchev: 85 sig / 0 TD
Maheshate
Viacheslav Borshchev
34
Sig strikes landed
34
91
Sig strikes attempted
65
48
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.80
58s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Maheshate

10-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
W UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
Blue corner
L2

Viacheslav Borshchev

"Slava Claus"
8-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…