Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marc-Andre Barriault
Eryk Anders
55%
45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
18-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-9
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
15
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barriault: 95 sig / 0 TD ·
Anders: 83 sig / 1 TD
Marc-Andre Barriault
Eryk Anders
62
Sig strikes landed
61
128
Sig strikes attempted
137
80
Total strikes landed
73
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
18-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 4-5
Last 5
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
Blue corner
W1
Eryk Anders
"Ya Boi"
19-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
15 fights · 7-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—