Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nassourdine Imavov
Chris Curtis
55%
45%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
27
Age
Δ 9y
36
17-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
32-14
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 2
Imavov: 57 sig / 3 TD ·
Curtis: 26 sig / 0 TD
Nassourdine Imavov
Chris Curtis
71
Sig strikes landed
59
150
Sig strikes attempted
123
85
Total strikes landed
70
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.0
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
157s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
17-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
Blue corner
L1
Chris Curtis
"Action-Man"
32-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—