Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Nate Landwehr
56%
44%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
32
Age
Δ 3y
35
20-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ige: 88 sig / 0 TD ·
Landwehr: 74 sig / 0 TD
Dan Ige
Nate Landwehr
66
Sig strikes landed
63
148
Sig strikes attempted
138
79
Total strikes landed
82
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
96s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dan Ige
"100K"
20-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
Blue corner
W3
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
19-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—