Back to UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Prelims1 Welterweight

Matt Brown vs Court McGee

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida ·Spectrum Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Matt Brown
Court McGee
45% 55%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
42
Age
Δ 4y
38
26-20
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-15
L1
Current streak
L1
24
UFC fights in our DB
20

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brown: 11 sig / 0 TD · McGee: 8 sig / 1 TD
Matt Brown
Court McGee
50
Sig strikes landed
52
92
Sig strikes attempted
119
64
Total strikes landed
80
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
84s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Matt Brown

"The Immortal"
26-20
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database 24 fights · 12-12
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
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W UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
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L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
W UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
—
Blue corner
L1

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database 20 fights · 10-10
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
L UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
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