Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Journey Newson
Marcus McGhee
47%
53%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
L1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Newson: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
McGhee: 25 sig / 0 TD
Journey Newson
Marcus McGhee
36
Sig strikes landed
44
77
Sig strikes attempted
86
53
Total strikes landed
66
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Journey Newson
10-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
Marcus McGhee
"The Maniac"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33