Back to UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Stephanie Egger vs Irina Alekseeva

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Stephanie Egger
Irina Alekseeva
59% 41%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
W1
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Egger: 9 sig / 0 TD · Alekseeva: 18 sig / 0 TD
Stephanie Egger
Irina Alekseeva
22
Sig strikes landed
23
48
Sig strikes attempted
43
48
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
220s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
42%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Stephanie Egger

9-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
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Blue corner

Irina Alekseeva

"Russian Ronda"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33