Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Hailey Cowan vs Jamey-Lyn Horth
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Hailey Cowan
Jamey-Lyn Horth
49%
51%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cowan: 63 sig / 2 TD ·
Horth: 76 sig / 0 TD
Hailey Cowan
Jamey-Lyn Horth
36
Sig strikes landed
36
76
Sig strikes attempted
75
62
Total strikes landed
69
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
182s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hailey Cowan
"All Hail"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
Blue corner
Jamey-Lyn Horth
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33