Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cody Durden
Charles Johnson
54%
46%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
19-10-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
19-9
W2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Durden: 56 sig / 11 TD ·
Johnson: 52 sig / 0 TD
Cody Durden
Charles Johnson
37
Sig strikes landed
40
85
Sig strikes attempted
84
54
Total strikes landed
57
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
239s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cody Durden
"Custom Made"
19-10-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
Blue corner
L1
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—