Main
Heavyweight
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes Acosta
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Waldo Cortes Acosta
42%
58%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
38
Age
Δ 6y
32
23-10-1
Career record
Δ 18 pp
18-3
W1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rogerio de Lima: 59 sig / 3 TD ·
Cortes Acosta: 82 sig / 0 TD
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Waldo Cortes Acosta
45
Sig strikes landed
57
80
Sig strikes attempted
100
61
Total strikes landed
72
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.1
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
41s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
23-10-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
15 fights · 9-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
Blue corner
W2
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
18-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—