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Kazuma Maruyama vs Sangwook Kim

Road to UFC 2.3 + 2.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kazuma Maruyama
Sangwook Kim
45% 55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Maruyama: 12 sig / 1 TD · Kim: 7 sig / 0 TD
Kazuma Maruyama
Sangwook Kim
35
Sig strikes landed
38
75
Sig strikes attempted
78
46
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
104s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kazuma Maruyama

"Gluttony"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Sangwook Kim

"Frogman"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30