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Main Flyweight

Sumit Kumar vs SeungGuk Choi

Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Sumit Kumar
SeungGuk Choi
72% 28%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
23
Age
Δ 4y
26
—
Current streak
W2
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kumar: 42 sig / 6 TD · Choi: 70 sig / 2 TD
Sumit Kumar
SeungGuk Choi
37
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
87
53
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
172s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sumit Kumar

"The Indian Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner
W2

SeungGuk Choi

8-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Road to UFC 1.5
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W Road to UFC 1.1
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