Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yibugele
Koya Kanda
60%
40%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
34
Age
Δ 6y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yibugele: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Kanda: 53 sig / 3 TD
Yibugele
Koya Kanda
36
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
84
52
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
138s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Yibugele
"Eagle"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner
Koya Kanda
"Bushido"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27