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Main Flyweight

Jiniushiyue vs Billy Pasulatan

Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jiniushiyue
Billy Pasulatan
84% 16%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
22
Age
Δ 9y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jiniushiyue: 16 sig / 1 TD · Pasulatan: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jiniushiyue
Billy Pasulatan
43
Sig strikes landed
30
86
Sig strikes attempted
62
57
Total strikes landed
46
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
165s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jiniushiyue

"Little Vajra"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
Blue corner

Billy Pasulatan

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
32