Main
Women's Strawweight
Jessica Andrade vs Yan Xiaonan
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jessica Andrade
Yan Xiaonan
56%
44%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
26-16
Career record
Δ 18 pp
20-5
L1
Current streak
W1
23
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Andrade: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Xiaonan: 26 sig / 0 TD
Jessica Andrade
Yan Xiaonan
70
Sig strikes landed
64
137
Sig strikes attempted
148
100
Total strikes landed
87
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
164s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
23 fights · 15-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Yan Xiaonan
20-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—