Prelims1
Catch Weight
Tatsuro Taira vs Edgar Chairez
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tatsuro Taira
Edgar Chairez
80%
20%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27
W3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taira: 61 sig / 2 TD ·
Chairez: 25 sig / 0 TD
Tatsuro Taira
Edgar Chairez
33
Sig strikes landed
20
61
Sig strikes attempted
44
60
Total strikes landed
32
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.1
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
289s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
19-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
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Blue corner
Edgar Chairez
"Puro Chicali"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27