Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Yazmin Jauregui vs Denise Gomes
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Yazmin Jauregui
Denise Gomes
55%
45%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
24
Age
Δ 1y
24
12-2
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-3
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jauregui: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Gomes: 17 sig / 0 TD
Yazmin Jauregui
Denise Gomes
43
Sig strikes landed
47
98
Sig strikes attempted
106
56
Total strikes landed
75
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.7
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
100s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Yazmin Jauregui
12-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
W1
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
13-3
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—