Prelims2
Bantamweight
Cameron Saaiman vs Terrence Mitchell
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Cameron Saaiman
Terrence Mitchell
58%
42%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 7"
74"
22
Age
Δ 11y
34
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Saaiman: 18 sig / 2 TD ·
Mitchell: 3 sig / 1 TD
Cameron Saaiman
Terrence Mitchell
40
Sig strikes landed
47
85
Sig strikes attempted
83
57
Total strikes landed
65
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
171s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
10-3
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
Blue corner
Terrence Mitchell
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34