Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Jimmy Crute vs Alonzo Menifield
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield
62%
38%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
27
Age
Δ 8y
36
14-4-3
Career record
Δ 3 pp
18-6-2
D1
Current streak
D1
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Crute: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Menifield: 21 sig / 0 TD
Jimmy Crute
Alonzo Menifield
17
Sig strikes landed
25
37
Sig strikes attempted
44
27
Total strikes landed
41
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Jimmy Crute
14-4-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
D
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
Blue corner
D1
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
18-6-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
D
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—