Prelims1
Lightweight
Ricky Glenn vs Christos Giagos
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ricky Glenn
Christos Giagos
68%
32%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
22-9-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
20-13
D1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Glenn: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Giagos: 9 sig / 0 TD
Ricky Glenn
Christos Giagos
39
Sig strikes landed
34
97
Sig strikes attempted
88
59
Total strikes landed
45
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
85s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
D1
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22-9-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
D
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
L
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
Blue corner
L2
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
20-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—
L
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—