Prelims1
Bantamweight
Rani Yahya vs Montel Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Montel Jackson
49%
51%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 8"
76"
39
Age
Δ 8y
31
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
16-4
W2
Current streak
W3
19
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Yahya: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Jackson: 9 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Montel Jackson
16
Sig strikes landed
24
33
Sig strikes attempted
54
37
Total strikes landed
46
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.8
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
1.00
153s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
19 fights · 13-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
Blue corner
W3
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
16-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—