Back to UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Main Women's Flyweight

Iasmin Lucindo vs Brogan Walker

UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Iasmin Lucindo
Brogan Walker
88% 12%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
21
Age
Δ 13y
35
18-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
8-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lucindo: 53 sig / 4 TD · Walker: 29 sig / 0 TD
Iasmin Lucindo
Brogan Walker
43
Sig strikes landed
56
137
Sig strikes attempted
111
75
Total strikes landed
79
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
162s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
36%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Iasmin Lucindo

18-7
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
L1

Brogan Walker

"The Bear"
8-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—