Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
King Green
Jared Gordon
68%
32%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
37
Age
Δ 2y
35
35-18-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
21-10
L2
Current streak
L1
20
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Green: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Gordon: 17 sig / 0 TD
King Green
Jared Gordon
66
Sig strikes landed
67
128
Sig strikes attempted
140
82
Total strikes landed
97
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
93s
Control time
168s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
King Green
35-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
20 fights · 10-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
L
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
L1
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
L
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—