Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Brad Tavares
Bruno Silva
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
21-14
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-14
L1
Current streak
L2
21
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Tavares: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 23 sig / 0 TD
Brad Tavares
Bruno Silva
51
Sig strikes landed
49
113
Sig strikes attempted
102
66
Total strikes landed
59
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Tavares
21-14
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
21 fights · 14-7
Last 5
L
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
Blue corner
L2
Bruno Silva
"Blindado"
23-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—