Prelims1
Women's Featherweight
Karol Rosa vs Norma Dumont
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Karol Rosa
Norma Dumont
72%
28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
28
Age
Δ 4y
33
20-7
Career record
Δ 8 pp
14-3
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosa: 33 sig / 0 TD ·
Dumont: 35 sig / 1 TD
Karol Rosa
Norma Dumont
58
Sig strikes landed
63
128
Sig strikes attempted
140
110
Total strikes landed
84
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
191s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Karol Rosa
20-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
Blue corner
W1
Norma Dumont
"The Immortal"
14-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—