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Prelims1 Lightweight

Lando Vannata vs Daniel Zellhuber

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Lando Vannata
Daniel Zellhuber
28% 72%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 6"
77"
31
Age
Δ 7y
24
12-9-2
Career record
Δ 23 pp
15-5
L1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vannata: 51 sig / 0 TD · Zellhuber: 78 sig / 0 TD
Lando Vannata
Daniel Zellhuber
56
Sig strikes landed
54
139
Sig strikes attempted
138
59
Total strikes landed
67
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
65s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Lando Vannata

"Groovy"
12-9-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 12 fights · 4-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
W UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
L UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
W UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
Blue corner
L1

Daniel Zellhuber

"Golden Boy"
15-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …