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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Gillian Robertson vs Piera Rodriguez

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Piera Rodriguez
56% 44%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
18-8
Career record
Δ 17 pp
13-2
W1
Current streak
W2
13
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Robertson: 26 sig / 2 TD · Rodriguez: 12 sig / 1 TD
Gillian Robertson
Piera Rodriguez
36
Sig strikes landed
40
76
Sig strikes attempted
76
65
Total strikes landed
68
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
218s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Gillian Robertson

"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
W UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
L UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
Blue corner
W2

Piera Rodriguez

"La Fiera"
13-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
W UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…