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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Bruna Brasil vs Denise Gomes

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen ·T-Mobile Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Bruna Brasil
Denise Gomes
35% 65%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
30
Age
Δ 6y
23
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Brasil: 15 sig / 0 TD · Gomes: 54 sig / 3 TD
Bruna Brasil
Denise Gomes
35
Sig strikes landed
33
57
Sig strikes attempted
61
63
Total strikes landed
66
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
130s
Control time
337s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Bruna Brasil

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Denise Gomes

"Dee"
12-4
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
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