Back to UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Main Bantamweight

Pedro Munhoz vs Chris Gutierrez

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen ·T-Mobile Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Chris Gutierrez
37% 63%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
37
Age
Δ 5y
32
20-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
23-7-2
L2
Current streak
W4
18
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munhoz: 60 sig / 0 TD · Gutierrez: 77 sig / 0 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Chris Gutierrez
60
Sig strikes landed
72
138
Sig strikes attempted
157
69
Total strikes landed
83
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
48s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Pedro Munhoz

"The Young Punisher"
20-10 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 18 fights · 9-7
Last 5
L UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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W UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
L UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
Blue corner
W4

Chris Gutierrez

"El Guapo"
23-7-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 9 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
D UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Sh…
—