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Tanner Boser vs Ion Cutelaba

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen ·T-Mobile Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Tanner Boser
Ion Cutelaba
60% 40%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
32
Age
Δ 2y
29
22-12-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-12-1
L1
Current streak
L3
8
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Boser: 5 sig / 0 TD · Cutelaba: 30 sig / 1 TD
Tanner Boser
Ion Cutelaba
43
Sig strikes landed
37
82
Sig strikes attempted
78
58
Total strikes landed
46
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.5
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
48s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Tanner Boser

"The Bulldozer"
22-12-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
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L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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Blue corner
L3

Ion Cutelaba

"The Hulk"
20-12-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 14 fights · 5-8
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
D UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—