Back to UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Cynthia Calvillo vs Loopy Godinez

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 ·Kaseya Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cynthia Calvillo
Loopy Godinez
32% 68%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 3"
61"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
9-7-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-7
L4
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Calvillo: 104 sig / 1 TD · Godinez: 87 sig / 0 TD
Cynthia Calvillo
Loopy Godinez
49
Sig strikes landed
52
127
Sig strikes attempted
120
69
Total strikes landed
89
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
117s
Control time
258s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L4

Cynthia Calvillo

9-7-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 12 fights · 6-5
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
L UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
—
Blue corner
L1

Loopy Godinez

14-7
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
W UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—